Telenor rapporterte sterke tall, og forventet økning av Fair Value

Telenor rapporterte denne uken sterke tall for første kvartal, og Morningstar sin analytiker skriver at han forventer økning av Fair Value estimatene på omkring 15%. 

Allan C. Nichols, CFA 07.05.2015 | 12.38
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Telenor reported strong first-quarter results and we expect to increase our fair value estimate by about 15%. There is no change to our moat rating.

Reported revenue increased 19.3% versus our full-year projection of 7.7%. However, the biggest difference is currency-related as the Norwegian krone depreciated against most Asian currencies. On an organic basis the firm's revenue increased 8%. The big surprise was Myanmar where we expected its subscriber base to double to 6.8 million subscribers during the year, but it almost achieved that in one quarter adding almost 3 million customers to 6.4 million. We expect to significantly increase our projections for this country. India also showed solid subscriber growth with its wireless customer base improving 26.1% to 38.5 million.

We were a bit disappointed with subscriber gains in many other markets during the quarter, but this was more than offset by strong wireless data revenue gains. In Norway, Telenor's largest market by revenue, its wireless base declined slightly during the quarter, but had 9% average revenue per user growth as the median data usage more than doubled. ARPUs increased in other countries as well due to higher data usage. We are very pleased with these results as a big theme of our higher revenue expectations for European telecom operators is that higher data usage can be monetized allowing revenues to grow.

One other impressive point from Myanmar is that the higher growth allowed the operations in the country to reach positive EBITDA after just one year. We have been projecting higher EBITDA margins for Telenor primarily from improved margins in India and Myanmar, so are happy to see this already occurring. For the quarter, the firm's EBITDA margin was 35% versus our full-year projection of 34.7%, which provides us with confidence of its ability to meet our margin projection.

 

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Verdipapirer nevnt i artikkel

Navn på verdipapirPrisEndring (%)Morningstar Rating
Telenor ASA128,20 NOK1,34Rating

Om forfatteren

Allan C. Nichols, CFA  Allan C. Nichols, CFA, is a senior stock analyst and international investing specialist with Morningstar.

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